Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 2.689165e-05 3.208435e-05 0.000038 0.000044 0.000051 0.000059 0.000068
2025-05-18 2.033666e-05 2.696452e-05 0.000035 0.000044 0.000055 0.000068 0.000083
2025-05-25 1.495893e-05 2.195247e-05 0.000031 0.000042 0.000056 0.000072 0.000093
2025-06-01 1.151065e-05 1.859494e-05 0.000028 0.000041 0.000057 0.000077 0.000103
2025-06-08 9.228452e-06 1.632492e-05 0.000026 0.000040 0.000059 0.000082 0.000114
2025-06-15 7.461247e-06 1.444246e-05 0.000025 0.000040 0.000061 0.000088 0.000124
2025-06-22 5.907626e-06 1.258089e-05 0.000023 0.000039 0.000061 0.000091 0.000132
2025-06-29 4.503706e-06 1.067121e-05 0.000021 0.000037 0.000061 0.000093 0.000138
2025-07-06 3.298665e-06 8.828126e-06 0.000019 0.000035 0.000059 0.000094 0.000142
2025-07-13 2.553432e-06 7.666558e-06 0.000017 0.000034 0.000060 0.000096 0.000149
2025-07-20 2.058580e-06 6.891144e-06 0.000016 0.000034 0.000061 0.000100 0.000158
2025-07-27 1.666840e-06 6.236816e-06 0.000016 0.000033 0.000062 0.000104 0.000167
2025-08-03 1.464104e-06 6.063363e-06 0.000016 0.000035 0.000067 0.000114 0.000185
2025-08-10 1.116859e-06 5.388358e-06 0.000015 0.000035 0.000069 0.000120 0.000197
2025-08-17 7.198653e-07 4.353133e-06 0.000014 0.000033 0.000068 0.000121 0.000203
2025-08-24 4.780938e-07 3.643838e-06 0.000013 0.000032 0.000068 0.000124 0.000212
2025-08-31 3.309667e-07 3.168440e-06 0.000012 0.000032 0.000069 0.000129 0.000223
2025-09-07 2.226761e-07 2.751664e-06 0.000011 0.000032 0.000071 0.000133 0.000234
2025-09-14 1.342520e-07 2.306946e-06 0.000010 0.000031 0.000071 0.000136 0.000242
2025-09-21 6.709358e-08 1.834752e-06 0.000009 0.000029 0.000070 0.000137 0.000248
2025-09-28 2.556655e-08 1.385575e-06 0.000008 0.000027 0.000068 0.000136 0.000251
2025-10-05 9.943154e-09 1.123914e-06 0.000008 0.000027 0.000068 0.000139 0.000258
2025-10-12 3.802930e-09 9.601605e-07 0.000007 0.000026 0.000069 0.000143 0.000269